No, I don’t mean Bill Pecota, late 80s Royals utilityman, I speak of Baseball-Prospectus’ PECOTA forecasting system. It’s the fun tool that not only projects a player’s stats for the upcoming season, it also tells us that Matt Kemp’s most similar player is Duke Snider, making the world seem like it’s run by order and not chaos. Of course, as Grant Brisbee points out, it also compares Tim Wakefield to Roger Clemens, looking only at longevity and nothing about the character of a pitcher.
With PECOTA being released to its adoring public today, Colin Wyers explains that the system has gone through some fairly drastic changes. If you’re a math person, you may even fully understand those changes. I don’t, so I only have a vague understanding.
Regardless, I encourage you to click through and check it out because it will probably make you a better person.
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oldtimefamilybaseball posted this
Daily news, recaps, and ridiculous pictures from across the baseball world. Extra focus on stirrup socks, squeeze bunts, mustaches and old baseball cards. In other words, your exact interests.
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